NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIN LONG
Points 73.2 73.6
Total Points   146.9
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.5 18.8
Points From Free Throws 18.5 16.0
Shooting WIN LONG
Field Goals Made 23.4 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 48.2 57.7
Field Goal % 48.6% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 26.4 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 59.2% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 18.5 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 26.7 23.3
Free Throw % 69.3% 68.6%
Ball Control WIN LONG
Rebounds 29.9 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 22.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 14.0
Turnovers 13.5 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.8
Steals 5.3 6.9
Fouls 17.2 21.1

Playing Style Advantage: Longwood

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIN LONG
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.6 73.0
% of Possessions with WIN LONG
2 Point Attempt 33.2% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 22.4%
Player Fouled 29.9% 24.4%
Turnover 19.1% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIN LONG
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 38.5%