NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EWU NEOM
Points 80.3 71.2
Total Points   151.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 31.6
Points From 3-Pointers 28.4 21.1
Points From Free Throws 17.3 18.5
Shooting EWU NEOM
Field Goals Made 26.8 22.8
Field Goals Attempted 52.2 55.7
Field Goal % 51.3% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 27.6 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 62.6% 45.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 17.3 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 24.7
Free Throw % 77.5% 75.0%
Ball Control EWU NEOM
Rebounds 34.5 30.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 21.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 8.7
Turnovers 11.6 9.0
Blocked Shots 2.6 1.6
Steals 4.3 5.8
Fouls 17.9 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: E Washingtn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EWU NEOM
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.1 70.6
% of Possessions with EWU NEOM
2 Point Attempt 35.3% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 26.0%
Player Fouled 26.2% 25.3%
Turnover 16.3% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken EWU NEOM
Shot Blocked 2.9% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 24.0%