NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GASO ODU
Points 78.6 75.2
Total Points   153.8
Points From 2-Pointers 29.1 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 33.6 21.1
Points From Free Throws 16.0 15.6
Shooting GASO ODU
Field Goals Made 25.7 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 61.7
Field Goal % 43.6% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 14.5 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 30.0 40.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.2 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 29.0 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 16.0 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 23.7
Free Throw % 71.5% 65.9%
Ball Control GASO ODU
Rebounds 39.5 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 10.8
Turnovers 13.0 10.1
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.8
Steals 5.4 7.6
Fouls 16.3 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: GA Southern

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GASO ODU
Total Possessions 75.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.6 75.6
% of Possessions with GASO ODU
2 Point Attempt 34.2% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 24.5%
Player Fouled 20.5% 21.7%
Turnover 17.3% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken GASO ODU
Shot Blocked 7.9% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 27.1%