NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FGCU UNF
Points 71.7 72.4
Total Points   144.1
Points From 2-Pointers 41.8 23.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.2 38.2
Points From Free Throws 10.7 11.1
Shooting FGCU UNF
Field Goals Made 27.3 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 56.3
Field Goal % 46.0% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 11.5
2 Pointers Attempted 41.1 22.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 34.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 10.7 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 14.4
Free Throw % 68.1% 77.2%
Ball Control FGCU UNF
Rebounds 37.0 31.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 6.8
Turnovers 9.2 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.8
Steals 6.3 4.9
Fouls 12.0 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: N Florida

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FGCU UNF
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 64.9
% of Possessions with FGCU UNF
2 Point Attempt 51.8% 29.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 44.7%
Player Fouled 18.8% 17.7%
Turnover 13.6% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken FGCU UNF
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.4% 20.2%