NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FGCU KENN
Points 77.2 74.7
Total Points   152.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 33.4
Points From 3-Pointers 26.5 28.4
Points From Free Throws 14.0 12.9
Shooting FGCU KENN
Field Goals Made 27.2 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 60.4
Field Goal % 47.1% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 28.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 14.0 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 19.2
Free Throw % 68.1% 67.1%
Ball Control FGCU KENN
Rebounds 37.8 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 9.5
Turnovers 11.8 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.2
Steals 6.2 6.4
Fouls 15.1 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Gulf Cst

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FGCU KENN
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 71.9
% of Possessions with FGCU KENN
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 38.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 34.2%
Player Fouled 22.1% 20.7%
Turnover 16.3% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken FGCU KENN
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 25.1%