NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FGCU FAU
Points 66.4 79.2
Total Points   145.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 25.2
Points From Free Throws 8.3 15.2
Shooting FGCU FAU
Field Goals Made 25.2 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 57.2
Field Goal % 42.1% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 58.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 24.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 8.3 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 12.2 20.9
Free Throw % 68.1% 72.6%
Ball Control FGCU FAU
Rebounds 32.3 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 10.0
Turnovers 11.2 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.2 2.4
Steals 5.1 6.8
Fouls 15.0 11.9

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Gulf Cst

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FGCU FAU
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 70.3
% of Possessions with FGCU FAU
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 29.8%
Player Fouled 17.2% 21.6%
Turnover 16.1% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken FGCU FAU
Shot Blocked 4.2% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 30.6%