NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FGCU FIU
Points 73.7 69.1
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.0 31.7
Points From 3-Pointers 27.2 27.6
Points From Free Throws 10.5 9.9
Shooting FGCU FIU
Field Goals Made 27.1 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 58.8
Field Goal % 49.1% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 27.0
3 Point Shooting % 44.2% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 10.5 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 15.2
Free Throw % 68.1% 65.0%
Ball Control FGCU FIU
Rebounds 38.2 29.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 20.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 8.7
Turnovers 15.1 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.4
Steals 5.9 9.0
Fouls 12.7 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Florida Intl

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FGCU FIU
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 68.1
% of Possessions with FGCU FIU
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 39.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 33.6%
Player Fouled 19.0% 18.1%
Turnover 21.5% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 12.8% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken FGCU FIU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 33.7% 23.9%