NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIN HP
Points 75.2 81.1
Total Points   156.3
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 24.9
Points From Free Throws 22.3 21.2
Shooting WIN HP
Field Goals Made 23.6 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 52.2 58.1
Field Goal % 45.2% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 26.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 22.3 21.2
Free Throws Attempted 32.1 27.2
Free Throw % 69.3% 77.9%
Ball Control WIN HP
Rebounds 30.8 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 13.8
Turnovers 10.0 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.2
Steals 4.1 4.9
Fouls 19.0 21.6

Playing Style Advantage: Winthrop

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIN HP
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 75.6
% of Possessions with WIN HP
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 36.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.0% 30.7%
Player Fouled 29.9% 26.3%
Turnover 13.8% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIN HP
Shot Blocked 7.3% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 38.6%