NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EMU FIU
Points 70.0 74.3
Total Points   144.4
Points From 2-Pointers 38.6 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 25.6
Points From Free Throws 10.7 10.8
Shooting EMU FIU
Field Goals Made 26.2 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 61.1
Field Goal % 45.7% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 26.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 10.7 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 16.6
Free Throw % 66.6% 65.0%
Ball Control EMU FIU
Rebounds 37.3 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 10.2
Turnovers 14.4 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.3
Steals 5.2 9.5
Fouls 13.7 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Florida Intl

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EMU FIU
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 71.5
% of Possessions with EMU FIU
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 32.1%
Player Fouled 18.9% 19.1%
Turnover 20.2% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 13.2% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken EMU FIU
Shot Blocked 7.1% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 31.4% 27.5%