NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MORE EIU
Points 73.9 68.0
Total Points   141.9
Points From 2-Pointers 40.4 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.2 17.7
Points From Free Throws 16.3 14.9
Shooting MORE EIU
Field Goals Made 25.9 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 56.9
Field Goal % 47.5% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 44.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 17.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 16.3 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 19.9
Free Throw % 74.2% 74.6%
Ball Control MORE EIU
Rebounds 37.4 30.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 19.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 10.6
Turnovers 11.0 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.1
Steals 4.5 6.6
Fouls 14.5 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Morehead St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORE EIU
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 68.9
% of Possessions with MORE EIU
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 22.3% 21.6%
Player Fouled 23.7% 21.5%
Turnover 16.3% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MORE EIU
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 38.2% 29.6%