NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MORE EIU
Points 63.4 63.8
Total Points   127.2
Points From 2-Pointers 30.0 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.2 14.7
Points From Free Throws 15.2 14.2
Shooting MORE EIU
Field Goals Made 21.1 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 49.7 53.1
Field Goal % 42.4% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 30.1 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 45.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 4.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 14.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 15.2 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 20.0
Free Throw % 68.5% 71.2%
Ball Control MORE EIU
Rebounds 35.9 30.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 7.6
Turnovers 12.3 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.7
Steals 4.6 7.3
Fouls 15.2 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: E Illinois

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORE EIU
Total Possessions 66.7
Effective Scoring Chances 63.8 65.1
% of Possessions with MORE EIU
2 Point Attempt 39.0% 51.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 19.3%
Player Fouled 24.7% 22.8%
Turnover 18.5% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MORE EIU
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 22.3%