NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCCU YSU
Points 68.9 80.2
Total Points   149.1
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 37.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 26.4
Points From Free Throws 15.6 16.3
Shooting NCCU YSU
Field Goals Made 23.2 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 63.3
Field Goal % 39.6% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 42.2% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 30.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 29.3%
Free Throws Made 15.6 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 21.6
Free Throw % 69.0% 75.3%
Ball Control NCCU YSU
Rebounds 34.3 43.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 14.3
Turnovers 10.0 8.8
Blocked Shots 1.7 5.6
Steals 4.8 4.5
Fouls 16.0 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: NC Central

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCCU YSU
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 77.4
% of Possessions with NCCU YSU
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 38.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 34.7%
Player Fouled 22.3% 22.3%
Turnover 14.0% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NCCU YSU
Shot Blocked 8.9% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 36.8%