NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COPP ECU
Points 54.2 74.0
Total Points   128.2
Points From 2-Pointers 26.3 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 21.9
Points From Free Throws 10.3 16.2
Shooting COPP ECU
Field Goals Made 19.0 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.0 55.2
Field Goal % 35.9% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 13.2 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 40.5% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 28.7% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 10.3 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 14.2 23.5
Free Throw % 72.6% 68.6%
Ball Control COPP ECU
Rebounds 29.0 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 20.4 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 13.9
Turnovers 14.5 11.1
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.5
Steals 5.9 9.8
Fouls 14.8 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: E Carolina

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COPP ECU
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 62.2 70.8
% of Possessions with COPP ECU
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 40.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 26.4%
Player Fouled 17.9% 21.8%
Turnover 21.3% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 14.4% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken COPP ECU
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 40.6%