NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GASO ULL
Points 71.9 79.4
Total Points   151.3
Points From 2-Pointers 36.5 41.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 19.4
Points From Free Throws 15.0 18.9
Shooting GASO ULL
Field Goals Made 25.0 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 60.0
Field Goal % 44.3% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.8% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 15.0 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 25.6
Free Throw % 71.5% 73.6%
Ball Control GASO ULL
Rebounds 34.2 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 12.4
Turnovers 14.5 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.0
Steals 6.2 8.0
Fouls 17.5 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Louisiana

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GASO ULL
Total Possessions 74.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 75.6
% of Possessions with GASO ULL
2 Point Attempt 39.3% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 23.5%
Player Fouled 20.7% 23.6%
Turnover 19.6% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken GASO ULL
Shot Blocked 6.8% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 33.9%