NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COPP L-IL
Points 49.7 76.2
Total Points   125.9
Points From 2-Pointers 23.8 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 13.7 26.1
Points From Free Throws 12.2 15.7
Shooting COPP L-IL
Field Goals Made 16.5 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.7 52.9
Field Goal % 30.7% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 11.9 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 29.2
2 Point Shooting % 31.8% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.3 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 28.0% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 12.2 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 23.3
Free Throw % 72.6% 67.6%
Ball Control COPP L-IL
Rebounds 28.0 42.4
Rebounds - Defensive 20.4 31.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 11.1
Turnovers 14.8 13.7
Blocked Shots 2.8 6.1
Steals 6.7 9.3
Fouls 16.6 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola-Chi

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COPP L-IL
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 63.4 68.0
% of Possessions with COPP L-IL
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 35.3%
3 Point Attempt 20.2% 28.6%
Player Fouled 21.8% 23.5%
Turnover 21.0% 19.3%
Opponent Steal 13.2% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken COPP L-IL
Shot Blocked 11.7% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 35.2%