NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BC URI
Points 82.6 69.9
Total Points   152.5
Points From 2-Pointers 42.8 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 27.7 21.2
Points From Free Throws 12.1 13.1
Shooting BC URI
Field Goals Made 30.6 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 62.0 56.2
Field Goal % 49.4% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.4% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 12.1 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 19.8
Free Throw % 74.4% 66.1%
Ball Control BC URI
Rebounds 34.9 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 8.9
Turnovers 6.9 10.8
Blocked Shots 5.0 2.4
Steals 5.9 3.9
Fouls 15.3 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Rhode Island

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BC URI
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 67.7
% of Possessions with BC URI
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 25.5%
Player Fouled 20.6% 22.0%
Turnover 9.9% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken BC URI
Shot Blocked 4.4% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 25.5%