NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GASO ARST
Points 78.5 84.5
Total Points   162.9
Points From 2-Pointers 40.8 37.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 26.9
Points From Free Throws 13.2 20.3
Shooting GASO ARST
Field Goals Made 28.6 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 62.5 62.0
Field Goal % 45.7% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 41.2 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 13.2 20.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 29.0
Free Throw % 71.5% 70.2%
Ball Control GASO ARST
Rebounds 33.3 42.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 15.2
Turnovers 9.9 9.3
Blocked Shots 5.2 5.0
Steals 5.5 5.3
Fouls 16.9 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: GA Southern

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GASO ARST
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 79.4
% of Possessions with GASO ARST
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 40.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 28.2%
Player Fouled 19.3% 23.0%
Turnover 13.5% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken GASO ARST
Shot Blocked 8.2% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 38.9%