NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EMU ILST
Points 61.4 71.9
Total Points   133.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 38.7
Points From 3-Pointers 16.6 18.7
Points From Free Throws 8.1 14.5
Shooting EMU ILST
Field Goals Made 23.9 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 54.9
Field Goal % 42.0% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 28.6% 29.1%
Free Throws Made 8.1 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 12.2 19.8
Free Throw % 66.6% 73.0%
Ball Control EMU ILST
Rebounds 30.7 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 10.0
Turnovers 9.7 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.3
Steals 4.2 5.5
Fouls 15.6 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: E Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EMU ILST
Total Possessions 65.8
Effective Scoring Chances 64.5 67.1
% of Possessions with EMU ILST
2 Point Attempt 49.8% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 28.0%
Player Fouled 18.9% 23.7%
Turnover 14.8% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken EMU ILST
Shot Blocked 4.2% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 31.0%