NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MORE SEMO
Points 77.3 58.0
Total Points   135.3
Points From 2-Pointers 40.8 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 13.5
Points From Free Throws 15.9 10.4
Shooting MORE SEMO
Field Goals Made 27.3 21.5
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 58.7
Field Goal % 50.9% 36.7%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 42.0
2 Point Shooting % 61.9% 40.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 4.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 16.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 26.9%
Free Throws Made 15.9 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 14.8
Free Throw % 73.2% 70.6%
Ball Control MORE SEMO
Rebounds 40.4 28.4
Rebounds - Defensive 30.6 19.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 8.5
Turnovers 10.9 9.7
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.0
Steals 5.7 4.7
Fouls 13.8 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: SE Missouri

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORE SEMO
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 67.3
% of Possessions with MORE SEMO
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 53.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 21.2%
Player Fouled 24.0% 20.1%
Turnover 15.9% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MORE SEMO
Shot Blocked 3.4% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 32.9% 21.7%