NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AMER STON
Points 66.3 71.6
Total Points   137.9
Points From 2-Pointers 26.5 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 29.5 25.4
Points From Free Throws 10.3 12.5
Shooting AMER STON
Field Goals Made 23.1 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 53.8
Field Goal % 41.0% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 13.2 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 28.4 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.6% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 27.9 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 40.0%
Free Throws Made 10.3 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.4 17.2
Free Throw % 71.6% 72.8%
Ball Control AMER STON
Rebounds 32.6 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 7.5
Turnovers 9.3 8.6
Blocked Shots 0.9 2.3
Steals 5.0 4.6
Fouls 14.6 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: American

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AMER STON
Total Possessions 65.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.3 64.7
% of Possessions with AMER STON
2 Point Attempt 37.6% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 36.9% 28.8%
Player Fouled 19.9% 22.2%
Turnover 14.1% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken AMER STON
Shot Blocked 4.3% 1.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 24.0%