NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BC FSU
Points 76.2 73.5
Total Points   149.7
Points From 2-Pointers 36.5 41.0
Points From 3-Pointers 25.1 17.8
Points From Free Throws 14.6 14.6
Shooting BC FSU
Field Goals Made 26.6 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 58.6
Field Goal % 45.7% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 20.5
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 39.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 14.6 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 20.7
Free Throw % 74.4% 70.5%
Ball Control BC FSU
Rebounds 36.4 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 9.5
Turnovers 11.7 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.1
Steals 4.8 7.9
Fouls 16.2 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Boston Col

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BC FSU
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 71.3
% of Possessions with BC FSU
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 22.7%
Player Fouled 22.0% 22.5%
Turnover 16.4% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BC FSU
Shot Blocked 7.1% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 26.7%