NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COPP NORF
Points 55.7 72.3
Total Points   128.0
Points From 2-Pointers 22.2 36.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 18.1
Points From Free Throws 13.5 17.4
Shooting COPP NORF
Field Goals Made 17.7 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 49.7 53.1
Field Goal % 35.7% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 11.1 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 28.6 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 38.8% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 13.5 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 24.3
Free Throw % 72.6% 71.8%
Ball Control COPP NORF
Rebounds 29.1 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 20.4 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 12.3
Turnovers 15.8 12.2
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.4
Steals 5.7 9.9
Fouls 16.2 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Norfolk St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COPP NORF
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 61.8 69.0
% of Possessions with COPP NORF
2 Point Attempt 36.2% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 21.7%
Player Fouled 21.5% 23.5%
Turnover 23.0% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 14.3% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken COPP NORF
Shot Blocked 6.5% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 37.6%