NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCCU SCUS
Points 71.9 70.8
Total Points   142.6
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.5 22.8
Points From Free Throws 19.8 12.6
Shooting NCCU SCUS
Field Goals Made 23.1 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 52.5 55.8
Field Goal % 44.1% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 30.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 57.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.7 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 30.3%
Free Throws Made 19.8 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 28.7 19.7
Free Throw % 69.0% 64.0%
Ball Control NCCU SCUS
Rebounds 37.1 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 8.7
Turnovers 10.9 10.3
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.8
Steals 5.5 5.0
Fouls 16.2 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: NC Central

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCCU SCUS
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 68.2
% of Possessions with NCCU SCUS
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 38.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 31.6%
Player Fouled 25.3% 23.2%
Turnover 15.6% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NCCU SCUS
Shot Blocked 6.9% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 32.2% 25.1%