NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIN SCUS
Points 74.4 68.7
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.9 32.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 24.4
Points From Free Throws 24.0 11.7
Shooting WIN SCUS
Field Goals Made 22.1 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 48.0 56.7
Field Goal % 46.1% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 29.2 30.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 24.0 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 34.6 18.3
Free Throw % 69.3% 64.0%
Ball Control WIN SCUS
Rebounds 38.3 29.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 21.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 8.6
Turnovers 12.8 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.3
Steals 5.2 6.7
Fouls 16.1 22.0

Playing Style Advantage: Winthrop

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIN SCUS
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 68.2
% of Possessions with WIN SCUS
2 Point Attempt 34.9% 37.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 32.6%
Player Fouled 30.9% 22.6%
Turnover 18.0% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIN SCUS
Shot Blocked 7.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 33.6% 23.7%