NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AMER BU
Points 65.8 65.2
Total Points   131.0
Points From 2-Pointers 26.5 27.9
Points From 3-Pointers 27.5 26.2
Points From Free Throws 11.8 11.1
Shooting AMER BU
Field Goals Made 22.4 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 50.7 52.2
Field Goal % 44.2% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 13.3 13.9
2 Pointers Attempted 26.2 28.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 11.8 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 15.4
Free Throw % 71.6% 72.2%
Ball Control AMER BU
Rebounds 30.8 32.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 7.9
Turnovers 10.0 9.8
Blocked Shots 1.2 2.5
Steals 5.2 5.2
Fouls 14.2 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Boston U

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AMER BU
Total Possessions 64.1
Effective Scoring Chances 60.7 62.2
% of Possessions with AMER BU
2 Point Attempt 36.6% 39.7%
3 Point Attempt 34.2% 32.4%
Player Fouled 23.8% 22.2%
Turnover 15.6% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken AMER BU
Shot Blocked 4.9% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 24.6%