NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GASO AUB
Points 62.7 90.9
Total Points   153.6
Points From 2-Pointers 26.2 42.4
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 22.6
Points From Free Throws 15.8 25.9
Shooting GASO AUB
Field Goals Made 20.0 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 55.6
Field Goal % 33.8% 51.7%
2 Pointers Made 13.1 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 35.3% 59.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 15.8 25.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 34.6
Free Throw % 71.5% 74.8%
Ball Control GASO AUB
Rebounds 30.7 43.2
Rebounds - Defensive 19.8 30.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 12.2
Turnovers 13.2 9.7
Blocked Shots 3.2 7.2
Steals 5.8 7.5
Fouls 21.0 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Auburn

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GASO AUB
Total Possessions 74.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 76.7
% of Possessions with GASO AUB
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 22.9%
Player Fouled 20.8% 28.3%
Turnover 17.7% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken GASO AUB
Shot Blocked 13.0% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 38.2%