NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MORE AUB
Points 61.5 78.3
Total Points   139.8
Points From 2-Pointers 26.4 41.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 19.1
Points From Free Throws 14.8 17.6
Shooting MORE AUB
Field Goals Made 20.0 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 57.2
Field Goal % 35.6% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 13.2 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 38.7% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 14.8 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 23.5
Free Throw % 73.2% 74.8%
Ball Control MORE AUB
Rebounds 34.7 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 9.8
Turnovers 12.6 8.2
Blocked Shots 2.9 5.5
Steals 5.1 6.9
Fouls 17.0 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Auburn

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORE AUB
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 71.2
% of Possessions with MORE AUB
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 23.0%
Player Fouled 21.2% 24.4%
Turnover 18.0% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MORE AUB
Shot Blocked 9.7% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 29.6%