NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MORE UALR
Points 72.8 67.7
Total Points   140.5
Points From 2-Pointers 29.6 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 30.1 15.2
Points From Free Throws 13.1 12.3
Shooting MORE UALR
Field Goals Made 24.8 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 58.3
Field Goal % 43.3% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 29.3 42.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 47.3%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 28.0 15.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 13.1 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 16.8
Free Throw % 73.2% 73.1%
Ball Control MORE UALR
Rebounds 36.4 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 9.6
Turnovers 11.2 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.7
Steals 5.2 5.1
Fouls 13.8 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Morehead St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORE UALR
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 68.4
% of Possessions with MORE UALR
2 Point Attempt 36.0% 53.2%
3 Point Attempt 34.5% 19.6%
Player Fouled 19.7% 19.9%
Turnover 16.3% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MORE UALR
Shot Blocked 6.4% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 27.1%