NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COPP DAV
Points 51.6 75.0
Total Points   126.6
Points From 2-Pointers 24.9 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 15.4 23.3
Points From Free Throws 11.2 16.3
Shooting COPP DAV
Field Goals Made 17.6 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 53.8
Field Goal % 32.7% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 12.5 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 30.0
2 Point Shooting % 35.6% 59.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 27.2% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 11.2 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.5 22.1
Free Throw % 72.6% 73.6%
Ball Control COPP DAV
Rebounds 29.0 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 20.6 29.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 11.0
Turnovers 13.8 11.7
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.6
Steals 6.6 8.4
Fouls 16.0 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Coppin St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COPP DAV
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 63.3 68.1
% of Possessions with COPP DAV
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 37.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 29.5%
Player Fouled 18.8% 23.3%
Turnover 20.1% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 12.2% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken COPP DAV
Shot Blocked 8.6% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 34.8%