NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCCU COOK
Points 72.9 71.6
Total Points   144.5
Points From 2-Pointers 31.4 38.7
Points From 3-Pointers 19.2 15.5
Points From Free Throws 22.3 17.4
Shooting NCCU COOK
Field Goals Made 22.1 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 49.5 57.0
Field Goal % 44.6% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 31.6 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.6% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 17.9 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 29.4%
Free Throws Made 22.3 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 32.3 22.9
Free Throw % 69.0% 75.9%
Ball Control NCCU COOK
Rebounds 35.1 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 10.7
Turnovers 12.5 10.7
Blocked Shots 1.6 3.9
Steals 6.4 6.7
Fouls 16.0 19.5

Playing Style Advantage: Beth-Cook

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCCU COOK
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 71.6
% of Possessions with NCCU COOK
2 Point Attempt 38.0% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 21.1%
Player Fouled 27.2% 22.3%
Turnover 17.5% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NCCU COOK
Shot Blocked 7.0% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 30.4% 29.9%