NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MORE UK
Points 72.0 82.8
Total Points   154.9
Points From 2-Pointers 28.6 44.3
Points From 3-Pointers 30.8 22.9
Points From Free Throws 12.6 15.7
Shooting MORE UK
Field Goals Made 24.6 29.8
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 61.2
Field Goal % 40.2% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 22.1
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 41.4
2 Point Shooting % 44.6% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 29.1 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 12.6 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 20.1
Free Throw % 73.2% 78.2%
Ball Control MORE UK
Rebounds 35.6 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 8.5
Turnovers 11.8 8.2
Blocked Shots 3.3 5.5
Steals 4.9 7.0
Fouls 15.5 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Morehead St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORE UK
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 72.9
% of Possessions with MORE UK
2 Point Attempt 37.7% 50.2%
3 Point Attempt 34.1% 24.0%
Player Fouled 18.3% 21.4%
Turnover 16.3% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MORE UK
Shot Blocked 9.1% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 25.2%