NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EWU NEV
Points 68.6 78.2
Total Points   146.7
Points From 2-Pointers 27.9 33.6
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 24.3
Points From Free Throws 17.5 20.3
Shooting EWU NEV
Field Goals Made 21.6 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 50.4 52.7
Field Goal % 43.0% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 13.9 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 27.0 32.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 40.8%
Free Throws Made 17.5 20.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 28.5
Free Throw % 77.5% 71.2%
Ball Control EWU NEV
Rebounds 30.9 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 9.1
Turnovers 13.0 9.0
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.8
Steals 3.9 6.8
Fouls 21.4 19.2

Playing Style Advantage: E Washingtn

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EWU NEV
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 64.3 70.1
% of Possessions with EWU NEV
2 Point Attempt 34.5% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 24.9%
Player Fouled 27.4% 30.5%
Turnover 18.5% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken EWU NEV
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 27.7%