NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCCU AKR
Points 65.4 74.9
Total Points   140.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.7 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.7 23.0
Points From Free Throws 13.9 16.4
Shooting NCCU AKR
Field Goals Made 22.9 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 54.9
Field Goal % 41.3% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 28.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 61.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 26.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 29.4%
Free Throws Made 13.9 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 22.5
Free Throw % 69.0% 72.9%
Ball Control NCCU AKR
Rebounds 31.4 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 10.4
Turnovers 9.6 9.5
Blocked Shots 1.5 3.6
Steals 4.9 3.8
Fouls 17.1 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: NC Central

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCCU AKR
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 69.2
% of Possessions with NCCU AKR
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 36.4%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 32.8%
Player Fouled 23.7% 25.0%
Turnover 14.0% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NCCU AKR
Shot Blocked 6.5% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 31.3%