NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EMU AKR
Points 61.6 74.9
Total Points   136.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.7 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 14.8 23.0
Points From Free Throws 9.0 14.0
Shooting EMU AKR
Field Goals Made 23.8 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 56.3
Field Goal % 41.2% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 31.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 60.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 27.3% 31.0%
Free Throws Made 9.0 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 13.6 19.2
Free Throw % 66.6% 72.9%
Ball Control EMU AKR
Rebounds 31.3 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 9.5
Turnovers 9.9 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.1
Steals 4.7 5.1
Fouls 15.5 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: E Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EMU AKR
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.0 68.3
% of Possessions with EMU AKR
2 Point Attempt 51.5% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 31.7%
Player Fouled 20.1% 22.8%
Turnover 14.6% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken EMU AKR
Shot Blocked 5.5% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 29.0%