NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS SLU
Points 68.4 77.8
Total Points   146.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 32.1
Points From Free Throws 11.2 10.7
Shooting LAS SLU
Field Goals Made 24.9 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 64.0 57.0
Field Goal % 38.9% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 42.4 27.1
2 Point Shooting % 41.3% 64.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 10.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 29.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 11.2 10.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.5 15.3
Free Throw % 72.4% 70.1%
Ball Control LAS SLU
Rebounds 35.1 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 30.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 7.0
Turnovers 8.0 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.6
Steals 7.1 4.9
Fouls 12.9 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Saint Louis

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS SLU
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 73.5 66.1
% of Possessions with LAS SLU
2 Point Attempt 51.4% 34.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 37.9%
Player Fouled 17.7% 18.3%
Turnover 11.3% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS SLU
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 22.4%