NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS SLU
Points 62.9 89.9
Total Points   152.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 13.1 38.6
Points From Free Throws 16.6 12.4
Shooting LAS SLU
Field Goals Made 21.0 32.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 58.5
Field Goal % 36.7% 55.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 29.1
2 Point Shooting % 42.3% 66.7%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 17.9 29.4
3 Point Shooting % 24.5% 43.8%
Free Throws Made 16.6 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 17.6
Free Throw % 69.3% 70.9%
Ball Control LAS SLU
Rebounds 31.2 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 20.8 29.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 8.3
Turnovers 9.9 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.8
Steals 6.3 6.2
Fouls 13.6 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Saint Louis

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS SLU
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 69.2
% of Possessions with LAS SLU
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 36.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.6% 36.6%
Player Fouled 22.6% 19.2%
Turnover 14.0% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS SLU
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 28.6%