NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS SPU
Points 66.8 64.9
Total Points   131.7
Points From 2-Pointers 32.7 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 16.2
Points From Free Throws 13.6 16.3
Shooting LAS SPU
Field Goals Made 23.2 21.6
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 57.2
Field Goal % 41.5% 37.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 42.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 38.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 15.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 13.6 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 22.9
Free Throw % 71.6% 71.2%
Ball Control LAS SPU
Rebounds 35.0 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 13.0
Turnovers 9.8 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.9
Steals 5.1 4.7
Fouls 15.8 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: St Peters

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS SPU
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 71.3
% of Possessions with LAS SPU
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 51.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 18.4%
Player Fouled 23.8% 23.3%
Turnover 14.5% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS SPU
Shot Blocked 8.7% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 33.2%