NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS URI
Points 77.1 74.6
Total Points   151.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.9 40.2
Points From 3-Pointers 27.5 18.4
Points From Free Throws 10.7 16.0
Shooting LAS URI
Field Goals Made 28.6 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 63.8 56.6
Field Goal % 44.8% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 10.7 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 24.2
Free Throw % 71.6% 66.1%
Ball Control LAS URI
Rebounds 33.8 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 10.2
Turnovers 7.0 9.8
Blocked Shots 4.6 2.9
Steals 5.8 3.4
Fouls 16.2 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Rhode Island

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS URI
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.6 70.8
% of Possessions with LAS URI
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 20.1%
Player Fouled 19.3% 23.0%
Turnover 9.9% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 4.8% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS URI
Shot Blocked 5.2% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 29.2%