NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS RICH
Points 64.5 72.1
Total Points   136.7
Points From 2-Pointers 31.3 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 19.9
Points From Free Throws 8.9 12.6
Shooting LAS RICH
Field Goals Made 23.8 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 56.7
Field Goal % 38.8% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 42.4% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 39.3%
Free Throws Made 8.9 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 12.4 17.6
Free Throw % 71.6% 71.6%
Ball Control LAS RICH
Rebounds 36.2 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 30.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 5.6
Turnovers 8.7 7.4
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.9
Steals 4.2 4.6
Fouls 14.3 11.4

Playing Style Advantage: La Salle

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS RICH
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 66.9
% of Possessions with LAS RICH
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 52.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 22.4%
Player Fouled 16.5% 20.8%
Turnover 12.7% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS RICH
Shot Blocked 5.2% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 17.0%