NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS DAV
Points 67.3 72.7
Total Points   140.0
Points From 2-Pointers 31.9 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.3 19.3
Points From Free Throws 11.0 14.7
Shooting LAS DAV
Field Goals Made 24.1 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 57.8
Field Goal % 40.3% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 11.0 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 20.0
Free Throw % 71.6% 73.6%
Ball Control LAS DAV
Rebounds 34.4 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 9.4
Turnovers 9.1 8.5
Blocked Shots 3.1 4.0
Steals 5.5 4.8
Fouls 15.2 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Davidson

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS DAV
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 69.8
% of Possessions with LAS DAV
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 24.4%
Player Fouled 19.2% 22.0%
Turnover 13.2% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS DAV
Shot Blocked 7.1% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 27.1%