NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BGSU WCU
Points 68.8 77.2
Total Points   146.0
Points From 2-Pointers 38.6 42.2
Points From 3-Pointers 13.6 24.7
Points From Free Throws 16.6 10.3
Shooting BGSU WCU
Field Goals Made 23.8 29.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 62.1
Field Goal % 40.5% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 43.2 42.0
2 Point Shooting % 44.7% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.5 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 15.7 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 41.1%
Free Throws Made 16.6 10.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 14.7
Free Throw % 72.7% 70.0%
Ball Control BGSU WCU
Rebounds 35.1 38.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 9.0
Turnovers 7.6 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.0
Steals 4.6 3.4
Fouls 13.1 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Bowling Grn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BGSU WCU
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 71.1
% of Possessions with BGSU WCU
2 Point Attempt 53.2% 51.9%
3 Point Attempt 19.3% 24.8%
Player Fouled 23.0% 18.4%
Turnover 10.7% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 4.7% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken BGSU WCU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 25.5%