NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BGSU EMU
Points 75.0 68.2
Total Points   143.3
Points From 2-Pointers 41.6 41.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.0 18.2
Points From Free Throws 15.4 8.8
Shooting BGSU EMU
Field Goals Made 26.8 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 59.7
Field Goal % 45.3% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 42.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 28.8% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 15.4 8.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 13.2
Free Throw % 72.7% 66.6%
Ball Control BGSU EMU
Rebounds 38.6 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 7.8
Turnovers 8.9 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.9
Steals 6.1 5.0
Fouls 12.5 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Bowling Grn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BGSU EMU
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 67.7
% of Possessions with BGSU EMU
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 53.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 22.4%
Player Fouled 21.5% 17.9%
Turnover 12.7% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken BGSU EMU
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 31.1% 22.1%