NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BGSU KENT
Points 71.1 75.9
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 38.0 37.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.2 26.1
Points From Free Throws 15.8 12.4
Shooting BGSU KENT
Field Goals Made 24.7 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 59.7
Field Goal % 43.6% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 39.8%
Free Throws Made 15.8 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 16.9
Free Throw % 72.7% 73.1%
Ball Control BGSU KENT
Rebounds 35.8 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 9.2
Turnovers 10.9 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.1
Steals 5.3 5.7
Fouls 14.5 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Bowling Grn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BGSU KENT
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 70.2
% of Possessions with BGSU KENT
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 26.9%
Player Fouled 22.8% 20.5%
Turnover 15.4% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken BGSU KENT
Shot Blocked 5.2% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 26.4%