NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BGSU M-OH
Points 68.4 71.9
Total Points   140.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 16.4 25.9
Points From Free Throws 15.3 10.9
Shooting BGSU M-OH
Field Goals Made 23.8 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 57.1
Field Goal % 41.1% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 27.3% 40.9%
Free Throws Made 15.3 10.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 15.3
Free Throw % 72.7% 71.5%
Ball Control BGSU M-OH
Rebounds 38.4 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 5.9
Turnovers 10.6 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.3
Steals 6.1 5.6
Fouls 14.9 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Miami (OH)

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BGSU M-OH
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 66.2
% of Possessions with BGSU M-OH
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 27.2%
Player Fouled 21.7% 21.1%
Turnover 15.0% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BGSU M-OH
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 17.9%