NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEL JMU
Points 68.0 78.8
Total Points   146.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 44.0
Points From 3-Pointers 16.6 22.0
Points From Free Throws 14.7 12.9
Shooting DEL JMU
Field Goals Made 23.9 29.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 61.7
Field Goal % 44.1% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 22.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 55.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 14.7 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 18.5
Free Throw % 70.4% 69.7%
Ball Control DEL JMU
Rebounds 33.2 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 9.9
Turnovers 12.4 8.4
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.7
Steals 4.4 8.3
Fouls 13.4 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEL JMU
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 73.0
% of Possessions with DEL JMU
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 26.4%
Player Fouled 22.0% 18.8%
Turnover 17.3% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 11.7% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEL JMU
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 27.7%