NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEL DAV
Points 65.3 71.5
Total Points   136.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.4 19.2
Points From Free Throws 13.1 12.3
Shooting DEL DAV
Field Goals Made 23.1 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 58.0
Field Goal % 42.0% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 29.5%
Free Throws Made 13.1 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 16.7
Free Throw % 70.4% 73.6%
Ball Control DEL DAV
Rebounds 33.7 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 8.2
Turnovers 10.7 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.8
Steals 4.8 6.5
Fouls 13.7 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Davidson

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEL DAV
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 65.6 68.1
% of Possessions with DEL DAV
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 28.0%
Player Fouled 20.8% 20.1%
Turnover 15.6% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEL DAV
Shot Blocked 8.4% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 24.2%