NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAMP PRE
Points 72.5 74.5
Total Points   146.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 40.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.1 24.1
Points From Free Throws 16.1 10.2
Shooting CAMP PRE
Field Goals Made 24.7 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 51.1 58.6
Field Goal % 48.2% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 56.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 16.1 10.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 15.4
Free Throw % 71.6% 66.0%
Ball Control CAMP PRE
Rebounds 30.5 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 9.0
Turnovers 11.7 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.8
Steals 5.6 6.9
Fouls 14.3 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Presbyterian

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAMP PRE
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 64.3 68.4
% of Possessions with CAMP PRE
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 29.2%
Player Fouled 24.4% 20.5%
Turnover 16.7% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAMP PRE
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 26.8%