NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAMP CCU
Points 74.4 76.1
Total Points   150.5
Points From 2-Pointers 31.3 41.9
Points From 3-Pointers 29.0 24.6
Points From Free Throws 14.1 9.6
Shooting CAMP CCU
Field Goals Made 25.3 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 61.4
Field Goal % 42.9% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 30.4 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 28.6 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 14.1 9.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 13.9
Free Throw % 71.6% 69.4%
Ball Control CAMP CCU
Rebounds 31.8 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 10.1
Turnovers 8.8 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.1
Steals 7.0 5.4
Fouls 12.6 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Coastal Car

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAMP CCU
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 70.5
% of Possessions with CAMP CCU
2 Point Attempt 37.7% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 35.5% 28.4%
Player Fouled 20.8% 17.5%
Turnover 12.2% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAMP CCU
Shot Blocked 5.1% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 29.1%