NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAMP WIN
Points 70.1 77.3
Total Points   147.4
Points From 2-Pointers 31.6 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.2 28.4
Points From Free Throws 14.2 14.1
Shooting CAMP WIN
Field Goals Made 23.9 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 56.4
Field Goal % 44.0% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 29.6 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 58.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 26.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 14.2 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 20.3
Free Throw % 71.6% 69.3%
Ball Control CAMP WIN
Rebounds 30.4 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 10.2
Turnovers 11.8 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.1
Steals 5.8 5.7
Fouls 17.4 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Winthrop

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAMP WIN
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 69.4
% of Possessions with CAMP WIN
2 Point Attempt 37.3% 36.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 32.6%
Player Fouled 23.5% 24.6%
Turnover 16.8% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAMP WIN
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 30.9%