NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAMP STET
Points 72.1 78.2
Total Points   150.4
Points From 2-Pointers 37.8 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 33.5
Points From Free Throws 11.3 10.4
Shooting CAMP STET
Field Goals Made 26.6 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 59.4
Field Goal % 45.8% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 30.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 29.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 11.3 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 13.9
Free Throw % 71.6% 75.1%
Ball Control CAMP STET
Rebounds 31.6 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 9.0
Turnovers 8.8 9.0
Blocked Shots 1.4 3.6
Steals 4.9 5.1
Fouls 13.4 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Campbell

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAMP STET
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 68.4
% of Possessions with CAMP STET
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 38.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 37.7%
Player Fouled 20.5% 19.6%
Turnover 12.8% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAMP STET
Shot Blocked 6.1% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 27.3%