NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAMP LONG
Points 70.4 76.2
Total Points   146.5
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 42.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.7 22.3
Points From Free Throws 13.3 11.2
Shooting CAMP LONG
Field Goals Made 24.4 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 50.6 60.8
Field Goal % 48.2% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 28.5 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 56.8% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 13.3 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 16.3
Free Throw % 71.6% 68.6%
Ball Control CAMP LONG
Rebounds 27.0 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 5.3 13.3
Turnovers 12.6 10.4
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.6
Steals 5.5 7.1
Fouls 14.3 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Longwood

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAMP LONG
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 61.8 71.9
% of Possessions with CAMP LONG
2 Point Attempt 37.8% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 24.4%
Player Fouled 24.1% 20.7%
Turnover 18.3% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAMP LONG
Shot Blocked 4.3% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 18.2% 37.9%