NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAMP EVAN
Points 67.6 74.6
Total Points   142.2
Points From 2-Pointers 30.7 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 27.0
Points From Free Throws 12.4 9.1
Shooting CAMP EVAN
Field Goals Made 23.5 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.3 58.9
Field Goal % 43.3% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 12.4 9.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 13.0
Free Throw % 71.6% 69.9%
Ball Control CAMP EVAN
Rebounds 31.5 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 7.8
Turnovers 11.8 10.4
Blocked Shots 1.7 3.6
Steals 5.9 6.7
Fouls 13.1 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAMP EVAN
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 64.5 67.2
% of Possessions with CAMP EVAN
2 Point Attempt 40.3% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 31.5%
Player Fouled 21.1% 18.8%
Turnover 16.8% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAMP EVAN
Shot Blocked 6.2% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 19.4% 23.7%